Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.963987 1.125353 1.298904 1.498691 1.721560 1.961765 2.239446
2025-06-01 0.686496 0.908575 1.170135 1.497147 1.891061 2.346243 2.907722
2025-06-08 0.498966 0.744667 1.059563 1.483197 2.027943 2.694332 3.559608
2025-06-15 0.400546 0.665305 1.030434 1.552555 2.260091 3.164861 4.386199
2025-06-22 0.317626 0.585591 0.981809 1.580984 2.431674 3.562078 5.139057
2025-06-29 0.243066 0.499208 0.905516 1.554355 2.517100 3.842617 5.747813
2025-07-06 0.197177 0.447286 0.869864 1.577415 2.667232 4.212519 6.488328
2025-07-13 0.160919 0.402765 0.837054 1.597229 2.808855 4.572952 7.227712
2025-07-20 0.133435 0.367543 0.813010 1.625423 2.961032 4.952032 8.005668
2025-07-27 0.109644 0.333258 0.784218 1.640302 3.090064 5.299827 8.749506
2025-08-03 0.084379 0.287870 0.726414 1.596839 3.119213 5.495604 9.275618
2025-08-10 0.068253 0.259101 0.695684 1.596616 3.216506 5.796505 9.965165
2025-08-17 0.051190 0.222253 0.643105 1.552568 3.241128 5.993147 10.519315
2025-08-24 0.040993 0.201000 0.620560 1.563544 3.361863 6.348836 11.332906
2025-08-31 0.031723 0.178260 0.589987 1.554485 3.445539 6.647951 12.070217
2025-09-07 0.027819 0.172583 0.599599 1.628793 3.684897 7.212220 13.242892
2025-09-14 0.022818 0.160058 0.589334 1.659337 3.844155 7.648715 14.226130
2025-09-21 0.016984 0.140052 0.554718 1.632127 3.891219 7.896388 14.913053
2025-09-28 0.013692 0.129447 0.543766 1.656268 4.037670 8.318516 15.894601
2025-10-05 0.010933 0.119373 0.532057 1.676929 4.177684 8.733777 16.876121
2025-10-12 0.008837 0.111260 0.524480 1.706242 4.336014 9.186070 17.930783
2025-10-19 0.006923 0.102276 0.511939 1.721708 4.466384 9.592573 18.919396
2025-10-26 0.004729 0.087885 0.477116 1.676581 4.467602 9.766145 19.519709